Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000056 0.000059 0.000061 0.000064 0.000067 0.000070 0.000074
2025-02-16 0.000052 0.000056 0.000060 0.000064 0.000069 0.000075 0.000082
2025-02-23 0.000051 0.000055 0.000061 0.000067 0.000074 0.000082 0.000092
2025-03-02 0.000047 0.000053 0.000058 0.000065 0.000073 0.000083 0.000096
2025-03-09 0.000045 0.000050 0.000056 0.000063 0.000072 0.000083 0.000098
2025-03-16 0.000043 0.000048 0.000055 0.000063 0.000073 0.000086 0.000103
2025-03-23 0.000042 0.000048 0.000055 0.000064 0.000075 0.000090 0.000111
2025-03-30 0.000041 0.000047 0.000054 0.000063 0.000075 0.000091 0.000114
2025-04-06 0.000039 0.000045 0.000052 0.000061 0.000074 0.000090 0.000114
2025-04-13 0.000037 0.000042 0.000049 0.000059 0.000071 0.000088 0.000112
2025-04-20 0.000035 0.000041 0.000047 0.000057 0.000069 0.000086 0.000111
2025-04-27 0.000033 0.000039 0.000045 0.000055 0.000067 0.000084 0.000109
2025-05-04 0.000033 0.000038 0.000045 0.000055 0.000068 0.000086 0.000115
2025-05-11 0.000032 0.000038 0.000045 0.000055 0.000070 0.000090 0.000123
2025-05-18 0.000032 0.000038 0.000046 0.000058 0.000074 0.000097 0.000138
2025-05-25 0.000031 0.000037 0.000045 0.000056 0.000073 0.000097 0.000140
2025-06-01 0.000030 0.000036 0.000044 0.000055 0.000071 0.000096 0.000141
2025-06-08 0.000029 0.000035 0.000043 0.000055 0.000072 0.000098 0.000147
2025-06-15 0.000029 0.000035 0.000043 0.000055 0.000074 0.000103 0.000158
2025-06-22 0.000028 0.000034 0.000043 0.000055 0.000074 0.000104 0.000162
2025-06-29 0.000027 0.000033 0.000041 0.000053 0.000072 0.000102 0.000161
2025-07-06 0.000026 0.000032 0.000040 0.000051 0.000069 0.000099 0.000157
2025-07-13 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038 0.000050 0.000067 0.000096 0.000154